AI Match Insights
La Liga Mar 03, 2024
Athletic Club
HomeVS
20:00
FC Barcelona
AwayAI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Athletic Club Win
Draw
FC Barcelona Win
Home Win
(47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 2.99 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
Athletic Club Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 29 | Athletic … vs Atlético … | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Athletic … vs Atlético … | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Athletic … vs Mallorca | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Athletic … vs FC Barcel… | 4-2 |
| Jan 20 | Athletic … vs Valencia | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Athletic … vs Alavés | 2-0 |
| Jan 13 | Athletic … vs Real Soci… | 2-1 |
| Jan 07 | Athletic … vs Eibar | 0-3 |
| Jan 04 | Athletic … vs Sevilla FC | 0-2 |
| Dec 16 | Athletic … vs Atlético … | 2-0 |
FC Barcelona Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24 | FC Barcel… vs Getafe | 4-0 |
| Feb 21 | FC Barcel… vs Napoli | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | FC Barcel… vs Celta de … | 1-2 |
| Feb 17 | FC Barcel… vs Celta | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | FC Barcel… vs Granada | 3-3 |
| Feb 03 | FC Barcel… vs Alavés | 1-3 |
| Feb 03 | FC Barcel… vs Alavés | 1-3 |
| Jan 31 | FC Barcel… vs Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC Barcel… vs Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | FC Barcel… vs Villarreal | 3-5 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Athletic Club in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- FC Barcelona in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | Athletic Club | 4 - 2 | FC Barcelona | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 22, 2023 | FC Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Athletic Club | 0 - 1 | FC Barcelona | La Liga |
| Oct 23, 2022 | FC Barcelona | 4 - 0 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Feb 27, 2022 | FC Barcelona | 4 - 0 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
| Jan 20, 2022 | Athletic Club | 3 - 2 | FC Barcelona | Copa del Rey |
Final Verdict
ELITE: Athletic Club to win (95% confidence)
ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0
95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
POWER_HOME_25+ (68%)
SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 88
- Power: 30 vs 0
Athletic Club Power
30
FC Barcelona Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.