AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Apr 21, 2024

Mictlán

Home
VS
17:00

Aurora

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Mictlán Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Aurora Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.48 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mictlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Mictlán Form 50%

No recent form data available

Aurora Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Aurora vs Mixco 0-1
Feb 03 Aurora vs Mixco 1-0
Sep 18 Aurora vs Mixco 0-0
Jul 31 Aurora vs Mixco 1-0
Dec 05 Aurora vs Mixco 1-1
Dec 02 Aurora vs Mixco 0-0
Nov 21 Aurora vs Mixco 3-1
Oct 25 Aurora vs Mixco 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mictlán to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mictlán Power 0
Aurora Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.