Irish Cup · Jan 14, 2025 19:45

Institute
PWR 79
2 - 3
FT

Loughgall
PWR 44
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Institute to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense74
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack35
Defense48
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Institute Form LDLLD
STABLE
Loughgall Form LDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS45%
Under 2.555%
Institute Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Loughgall Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Institute
vs
0.80
Loughgall
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Institute
+10
Gap
#15
Loughgall
WR 75% 9 pts WR 50% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Institute43011039
Loughgall4202466
Institute 4.0%
Dec 30 Institu… v Newingt… 2-0
Dec 26 Institu… v Limavad… 1-1
Nov 16 Institu… v Ards 2-4
Nov 09 Institu… v H&W Wel… 3-1
Nov 02 Institu… v Annagh … 0-0
Oct 26 Institu… v Newingt… 0-1
Oct 19 Institu… v Ballina… 2-1
Sep 28 Institu… v Ards 0-0
Sep 21 Institu… v Newingt… 4-0
Sep 14 Institu… v Ballina… 1-2
Loughgall 6.0%
Oct 01 Loughga… v Armagh … 2-3
Aug 03 Loughga… v Ards 1-1
Jul 27 Loughga… v H&W Wel… 4-3
Jul 23 Loughga… v Ballina… 2-1
Jul 20 Loughga… v Annagh … 3-2
Nov 21 Loughga… v Annagh … 0-1
Jul 22 Loughga… v Dundela 0-0
Apr 22 Loughga… v Warrenp… 1-2
Apr 15 Loughga… v Dundela 1-3
Apr 11 Loughga… v Annagh … 0-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Feb 11, 2023 Loughgall 5-1 Institute
Dec 10, 2022 Institute 1-1 Loughgall
Oct 01, 2022 Loughgall 1-0 Institute
Feb 12, 2022 Institute 2-3 Loughgall
Nov 20, 2021 Institute 0-2 Loughgall
Aug 28, 2021 Loughgall 0-2 Institute
Key Factors
Institute struggling (3L in last 5)
Loughgall struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.