Division Profesional - Apertura · Apr 06, 2024 00:30
Nacional Asunción
PWR 56
Sportivo Ameliano
PWR 40
Nacional Asunción
PWR 56
1 - 1
FT
Sportivo Ameliano
PWR 40
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Nacional Asunción to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (12%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense66
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.0
Attack33
Defense58
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Nacional Asunc… Form
LLDDL
DOWN
Sportivo Ameli… Form
LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS42%
Under 2.545%
Nacional As… Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Sportivo Am… Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Nacional Asunc…vs
0.62
Sportivo Ameli…Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Nacional As…+8
Gap#9
Sportivo Am…
WR 50% 40 pts
WR 26% 22 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asunci… | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 23 | 40 |
| Sportivo Amelia… | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 22 |
Nacional Asunc…
4.0%
| Feb 24 | Naciona… v 2 de Ma… | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Naciona… v Olimpia | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Naciona… v General… | 2-2 |
| Jan 19 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
| Dec 01 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Oct 28 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 2-1 |
| Oct 07 | Naciona… v Olimpia | 1-0 |
| Sep 19 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 2-0 |
Sportivo Ameli…
4.0%
| Mar 10 | Sportiv… v Liberta… | 4-1 |
| Mar 02 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 1-3 |
| Jan 19 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 1-0 |
| Oct 28 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 2-1 |
| Oct 09 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 0-2 |
| Aug 11 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Oct 17 | Sportiv… v Rubio Ñu | 0-1 |
| Sep 25 | Sportiv… v Club Sp… | 3-0 |
| Jul 05 | Sportiv… v Rubio Ñu | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 19, 2024 | Sportivo Amel… | 1-0 | Nacional Asun… |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Nacional Asun… | 2-1 | Sportivo Amel… |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Sportivo Amel… | 2-0 | Nacional Asun… |
Key Factors
Nacional Asunción struggling (3L in last 5)
Sportivo Ameliano struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.