Division Profesional - Clausura · Aug 04, 2024 20:00
Nacional Asunción
PWR 48
Sportivo Ameliano
PWR 39
Nacional Asunción
PWR 48
0 - 0
FT
Sportivo Ameliano
PWR 39
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Nacional Asunción to win (78% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
78%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense73
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Attack36
Defense48
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Nacional Asunc… Form
WLLWD
STABLE
Sportivo Ameli… Form
LLDDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS42%
Under 2.552%
Nacional As… Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Sportivo Am… Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Nacional Asunc…vs
0.67
Sportivo Ameli…Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Nacional As…+5
Gap#10
Sportivo Am…
WR 35% 50 pts
WR 30% 37 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asunci… | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 34 | 26 | 50 |
| Sportivo Amelia… | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 49 | 37 |
Nacional Asunc…
10.0%
| May 18 | Naciona… v 2 de Ma… | 3-1 |
| May 04 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Apr 22 | Naciona… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Apr 14 | Naciona… v General… | 1-2 |
| Apr 06 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Naciona… v 2 de Ma… | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Naciona… v Olimpia | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Naciona… v General… | 2-2 |
| Jan 19 | Naciona… v Sportiv… | 1-0 |
Sportivo Ameli…
4.0%
| May 26 | Sportiv… v Liberta… | 0-1 |
| May 21 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 2-1 |
| May 11 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Sportiv… v Liberta… | 4-1 |
| Mar 02 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 1-3 |
| Jan 19 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 1-0 |
| Oct 28 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 2-1 |
| Oct 09 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Apr 06, 2024 | Nacional Asun… | 1-1 | Sportivo Amel… |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Sportivo Amel… | 1-0 | Nacional Asun… |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Nacional Asun… | 2-1 | Sportivo Amel… |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Sportivo Amel… | 2-0 | Nacional Asun… |
Key Factors
Sportivo Ameliano struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.