AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Division Profesional - Apertura May 04, 2025

Nacional Asunción

Home
VS
21:00

Sportivo Ameliano

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Nacional Asunción Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Sportivo Ameliano Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.16 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nacional Asunción Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Sportivo Ameliano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Nacional Asunción Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Nacional … vs Deportivo… 1-1
Apr 06 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 1-0
Mar 30 Nacional … vs General C… 1-0
Mar 10 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 2-1
Mar 01 Nacional … vs Atlético … 1-0
Feb 22 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 2-1
Feb 08 Nacional … vs Deportivo… 1-0
Jan 25 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 0-0
Oct 25 Nacional … vs General C… 1-0
Oct 21 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 2-2
Sportivo Ameliano Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Sportivo … vs Libertad … 0-0
Apr 21 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 1-4
Mar 29 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 2-2
Mar 05 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 2-0
Feb 22 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 2-1
Feb 16 Sportivo … vs Libertad … 2-0
Feb 10 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 1-1
Nov 16 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-2
Nov 11 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 0-2
Oct 25 Sportivo … vs Libertad … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nacional Asunción in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2025 Sportivo Ameliano 2 - 1 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Oct 06, 2024 Sportivo Ameliano 1 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Aug 04, 2024 Nacional Asunción 0 - 0 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Apr 06, 2024 Nacional Asunción 1 - 1 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Jan 19, 2024 Sportivo Ameliano 1 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Oct 28, 2023 Nacional Asunción 2 - 1 Sportivo Ameliano Division Profe…
Aug 11, 2023 Sportivo Ameliano 2 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nacional Asunción to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nacional Asunción Power 0
Sportivo Ameliano Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.