Serie A · Sep 29, 2024 19:00
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
Corinthians
PWR 35
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Corinthians
PWR 35
29% H
28% D
43% A
Final Verdict
São Paulo FC Win
Prediction
4-0
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITEFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (6 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
São Paulo FC Form
WLLLD
STABLE
Corinthians Form
WWWWL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS59%
Under 2.545%
São Paulo FC Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Corinthians Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
São Paulo FCvs
1.47
CorinthiansDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings91%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
São Paulo FC+14
Gap#19
Corinthians
WR 100% 4 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
São Paulo FC
6.0%
| Sep 22 | São Pau… v Campo G… | 3-0 |
| Sep 22 | São Pau… v Interna… | 1-3 |
| Sep 22 | São Pau… v Corinth… | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | São Pau… v Corinth… | 1-3 |
| Sep 13 | São Pau… v Atletic… | 0-0 |
| Sep 08 | São Pau… v Ferrovi… | 1-0 |
| Sep 03 | São Pau… v Ferrovi… | 2-1 |
| Sep 01 | São Pau… v Flumine… | 2-0 |
| Aug 29 | São Pau… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Aug 29 | São Pau… v Remo | 0-0 |
Corinthians
16.0%
| Sep 25 | Corinth… v Fortale… | 3-0 |
| Sep 22 | Corinth… v São Pau… | 2-0 |
| Sep 18 | Corinth… v Fortale… | 0-2 |
| Sep 15 | Corinth… v São Pau… | 1-3 |
| Sep 15 | Corinth… v Botafogo | 2-1 |
| Sep 12 | Corinth… v Juventu… | 3-1 |
| Sep 08 | Corinth… v Palmeir… | 1-2 |
| Sep 01 | Corinth… v Flamengo | 2-1 |
| Sep 01 | Corinth… v Palmeir… | 1-3 |
| Aug 29 | Corinth… v Juventu… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 22, 2024 | Corinthians | 2-0 | São Paulo FC |
| Sep 15, 2024 | São Paulo FC | 1-3 | Corinthians |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Corinthians | 2-2 | São Paulo FC |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Corinthians | 1-2 | São Paulo FC |
| Sep 30, 2023 | São Paulo FC | 2-1 | Corinthians |
| Aug 16, 2023 | São Paulo FC | 2-0 | Corinthians |
| Jul 26, 2023 | Corinthians | 2-1 | São Paulo FC |
| May 14, 2023 | Corinthians | 1-1 | São Paulo FC |
| Jan 29, 2023 | São Paulo FC | 1-2 | Corinthians |
Key Factors
Corinthians in strong form (4W in last 5)
São Paulo FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.