Ligue 1 · Oct 09, 2024 11:30
Lubumbashi Sport
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Tshinkunku
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 69%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Both mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Lubumbashi Spo… Form WLLDL
STABLE
Tshinkunku Form LDLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.576%
BTTS79%
Under 2.524%
Lubumbashi … Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Tshinkunku Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Lubumbashi Spo…
vs
1.75
Tshinkunku
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings68%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Lubumbashi …
+4
Gap
#10
Tshinkunku
WR 40% 27 pts WR 0% 24 pts
Lubumbashi Spo… 6.0%
Oct 06 Lubumba… v Groupe … 3-0
May 18 Lubumba… v Saint E… 0-3
May 12 Lubumba… v Don Bos… 2-1
May 04 Lubumba… v TP Maze… 0-0
Apr 04 Lubumba… v Saint E… 1-0
Mar 13 Lubumba… v Don Bos… 2-1
Mar 06 Lubumba… v TP Maze… 5-0
Jan 04 Lubumba… v TP Maze… 8-0
Dec 27 Lubumba… v Groupe … 1-3
Dec 17 Lubumba… v Saint E… 1-3
Tshinkunku 8.0%
Oct 06 Tshinku… v Saint E… 1-0
May 18 Tshinku… v Groupe … 1-1
May 14 Tshinku… v Simba 0-1
May 09 Tshinku… v Sanga B… 1-2
May 04 Tshinku… v Blessing 1-1
Apr 30 Tshinku… v Panda B5 3-6
Dec 23 Tshinku… v Simba 3-0
Dec 17 Tshinku… v Blessing 1-1
Dec 10 Tshinku… v Lubumba… 2-0
Dec 03 Tshinku… v Panda B5 1-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Dec 10, 2023 Lubumbashi Sp… 2-0 Tshinkunku
Sep 07, 2023 Tshinkunku 0-3 Lubumbashi Sp…
Nov 03, 2022 Lubumbashi Sp… 0-1 Tshinkunku
Dec 31, 2021 Lubumbashi Sp… 1-1 Tshinkunku
Key Factors
Lubumbashi Sport struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.