Championship · Dec 12, 2025 19:45

Ayr Utd
PWR 35
2 - 4
FT

ST Johnstone
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ayr Utd Form WDWWD
STABLE
ST Johnstone Form DLLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS55%
Under 2.540%
Ayr Utd Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
ST Johnstone Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Ayr Utd
vs
0.96
ST Johnstone
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Ayr Utd
-3
Gap
#1
ST Johnstone
WR 27% 32 pts WR 60% 46 pts
Ayr Utd 16.0%
Dec 09 Ayr Utd v Peterhe… 2-1
Dec 06 Ayr Utd v Partick 0-0
Nov 29 Ayr Utd v Turriff… 3-0
Nov 22 Ayr Utd v Airdrie… 0-1
Nov 15 Ayr Utd v Arbroath 1-1
Nov 08 Ayr Utd v Ross Co… 3-3
Oct 31 Ayr Utd v Dunferm… 0-1
Oct 25 Ayr Utd v Queen's… 0-0
Oct 21 Ayr Utd v Partick 2-1
Oct 18 Ayr Utd v Morton 2-1
ST Johnstone 8.0%
Dec 06 ST John… v Raith R… 0-0
Nov 29 ST John… v Cove Ra… 1-2
Nov 22 ST John… v Partick 2-1
Nov 15 ST John… v Queen's… 4-3
Nov 08 ST John… v Dunferm… 2-2
Nov 01 ST John… v Airdrie… 3-0
Oct 25 ST John… v Morton 0-4
Oct 18 ST John… v Arbroath 3-1
Oct 11 ST John… v Ross Co… 0-0
Oct 04 ST John… v Ayr Utd 0-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Oct 04, 2025 ST Johnstone 0-0 Ayr Utd
Jul 25, 2023 ST Johnstone 1-2 Ayr Utd
Jul 23, 2022 ST Johnstone 1-0 Ayr Utd
Key Factors
Ayr Utd in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.