AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Dec 06, 2025

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
15:00

Peterhead

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Peterhead Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.50 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Peterhead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Alloa Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 1-0
Nov 25 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 1-1
Nov 22 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 0-0
Nov 11 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 4-4
Nov 11 Alloa Ath… vs Kilmarnoc… 6-0
Nov 08 Alloa Ath… vs Montrose 0-4
Nov 01 Alloa Ath… vs Kelty Hea… 3-0
Nov 01 Alloa Ath… vs Pittsburg… 0-0
Oct 25 Alloa Ath… vs Louisvill… 1-0
Oct 25 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 0-0
Peterhead Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Peterhead vs Morton 2-2
Nov 22 Peterhead vs Stenhouse… 1-4
Nov 15 Peterhead vs Montrose 1-1
Nov 11 Peterhead vs Stirling … 2-1
Nov 08 Peterhead vs Hamilton … 3-0
Nov 01 Peterhead vs Rangers FC 1-2
Oct 25 Peterhead vs Inverness… 0-1
Oct 18 Peterhead vs Queen of … 3-0
Oct 11 Peterhead vs Hibernian… 0-4
Oct 04 Peterhead vs Kelty Hea… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Peterhead struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Peterhead 2 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Mar 25, 2023 Peterhead 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic League One
Feb 04, 2023 Alloa Athletic 1 - 0 Peterhead League One
Oct 22, 2022 Peterhead 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic League One
Aug 27, 2022 Alloa Athletic 5 - 0 Peterhead League One
Mar 19, 2022 Alloa Athletic 1 - 0 Peterhead League One
Feb 05, 2022 Peterhead 0 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Oct 16, 2021 Alloa Athletic 2 - 4 Peterhead League One
Jul 31, 2021 Peterhead 2 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Peterhead Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Alloa Athletic Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Peterhead Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.