AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca - 2 Nov 15, 2025

Duque de Caxias

Home
VS
18:00

Bonsucesso

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Duque de Caxias Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Bonsucesso Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.39 - 0.91
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Duque de Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Bonsucesso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Duque de Caxias Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Duque de … vs Carapebus 0-2
Nov 05 Duque de … vs Jataiense 0-0
Nov 01 Duque de … vs Nova Cida… 2-2
Oct 25 Duque de … vs Paranoá 2-1
Oct 18 Duque de … vs Friburgue… 0-1
Oct 11 Duque de … vs São Crist… 2-0
Oct 04 Duque de … vs Campo Gra… 0-0
Sep 27 Duque de … vs Bonsucesso 2-0
Sep 20 Duque de … vs Artsul 1-0
Sep 13 Duque de … vs Serrano RJ 2-1
Bonsucesso Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Bonsucesso vs Serrano RJ 1-0
Nov 05 Bonsucesso vs Carapebus 1-1
Nov 01 Bonsucesso vs Petrópolis 1-1
Oct 25 Bonsucesso vs Nova Cida… 1-0
Oct 18 Bonsucesso vs Jataiense 2-3
Oct 11 Bonsucesso vs Paranoá 2-1
Oct 04 Bonsucesso vs Friburgue… 0-1
Sep 27 Bonsucesso vs Duque de … 2-0
Sep 20 Bonsucesso vs Campo Gra… 1-1
Sep 13 Bonsucesso vs São Crist… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Duque de Caxias in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Bonsucesso 2 - 0 Duque de Caxias Carioca - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Duque de Caxias to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Duque de Caxias Power 0
Bonsucesso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.