AI Match Insights

Ligue 1 Aug 26, 2023

Dauphins Noirs

Home
VS
13:30

Céleste

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Dauphins Noirs Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Céleste Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dauphins Noirs Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Céleste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Under 2.5 Goals 82%
Dauphins Noirs Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Dauphins … vs Céleste 0-1
Oct 16 Dauphins … vs Maniema U… 2-0
Oct 09 Dauphins … vs Etoile de… 0-0
Feb 02 Dauphins … vs JSK 1-2
Jan 20 Dauphins … vs Maniema U… 2-0
Dec 09 Dauphins … vs Motema Pe… 2-1
Oct 06 Dauphins … vs Etoile de… 2-0
Sep 24 Dauphins … vs Renaissan… 0-0
Apr 08 Dauphins … vs Maniema U… 1-2
Mar 17 Dauphins … vs Motema Pe… 1-0
Céleste Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Céleste vs Etoile de… 0-1
Nov 30 Céleste vs Maniema U… 0-2
Nov 21 Céleste vs Rangers FC 1-0
Nov 13 Céleste vs Motema Pe… 1-1
Nov 04 Céleste vs Dauphins … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dauphins Noirs struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 04, 2022 Céleste 0 - 1 Dauphins Noirs Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dauphins Noirs to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dauphins Noirs Power 0
Céleste Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Dauphins Noirs Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Céleste Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.