AI Match Insights
Ligue 1 Aug 26, 2023
Dauphins Noirs
HomeVS
13:30
Céleste
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Dauphins Noirs Win
Draw
Céleste Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
Combined: 46%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dauphins Noirs Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Céleste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%)
0-0 (23%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (10%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
Under 2.5 Goals
82%
Dauphins Noirs Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 04 | Dauphins … vs Céleste | 0-1 |
| Oct 16 | Dauphins … vs Maniema U… | 2-0 |
| Oct 09 | Dauphins … vs Etoile de… | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Dauphins … vs JSK | 1-2 |
| Jan 20 | Dauphins … vs Maniema U… | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | Dauphins … vs Motema Pe… | 2-1 |
| Oct 06 | Dauphins … vs Etoile de… | 2-0 |
| Sep 24 | Dauphins … vs Renaissan… | 0-0 |
| Apr 08 | Dauphins … vs Maniema U… | 1-2 |
| Mar 17 | Dauphins … vs Motema Pe… | 1-0 |
Céleste Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23 | Céleste vs Etoile de… | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | Céleste vs Maniema U… | 0-2 |
| Nov 21 | Céleste vs Rangers FC | 1-0 |
| Nov 13 | Céleste vs Motema Pe… | 1-1 |
| Nov 04 | Céleste vs Dauphins … | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Dauphins Noirs struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 04, 2022 | Céleste | 0 - 1 | Dauphins Noirs | Ligue 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Dauphins Noirs to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Dauphins Noirs Power
0
Céleste Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Dauphins Noirs Position+2
Position Gap5
Céleste Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.