AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Nov 18, 2023

Chelsea Women

Home
VS
13:30

Liverpool Women

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Chelsea Women Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Liverpool Women Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.97 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.4 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chelsea Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Liverpool Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Chelsea Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 0-3
Oct 22 Chelsea W… vs Brighton … 4-2
Oct 14 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 2-0
Oct 08 Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… 1-1
May 21 Chelsea W… vs Arsenal W… 2-0
May 17 Chelsea W… vs West Ham … 0-4
May 07 Chelsea W… vs Everton W… 7-0
May 03 Chelsea W… vs Liverpool… 2-1
Apr 27 Chelsea W… vs Barcelona… 1-1
Apr 22 Chelsea W… vs Barcelona… 0-1
Liverpool Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 1-1
Oct 22 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 1-1
Oct 08 Liverpool… vs Aston Vil… 2-0
Oct 01 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 0-1
May 27 Liverpool… vs Mancheste… 0-1
May 21 Liverpool… vs Aston Vil… 3-3
May 03 Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… 2-1
Apr 02 Liverpool… vs West Ham … 0-0
Mar 12 Liverpool… vs Tottenham… 2-1
Mar 08 Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chelsea Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2023 Chelsea Women 2 - 1 Liverpool Women FA WSL
Jan 29, 2023 Chelsea Women 3 - 2 Liverpool Women FA Women's Cup
Sep 18, 2022 Liverpool Women 2 - 1 Chelsea Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

PRO: Chelsea Women to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chelsea Women Power 44
Liverpool Women Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Chelsea Women Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Liverpool Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.