AI Match Insights
FA WSL May 10, 2025
Chelsea Women
HomeVS
11:30
Liverpool Women
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Chelsea Women Win
Draw
Liverpool Women Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.45 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.2
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chelsea Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Liverpool Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
Chelsea Women Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27 | Chelsea W… vs Barcelona… | 1-4 |
| Apr 23 | Chelsea W… vs Crystal P… | 4-0 |
| Apr 20 | Chelsea W… vs Barcelona… | 4-1 |
| Apr 12 | Chelsea W… vs Liverpool… | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | Chelsea W… vs West Ham … | 2-2 |
| Mar 27 | Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… | 3-0 |
| Mar 23 | Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… | 1-2 |
| Mar 19 | Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Chelsea W… vs Mancheste… | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Chelsea W… vs Crystal P… | 1-0 |
Liverpool Women Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27 | Liverpool… vs Tottenham… | 2-2 |
| Apr 19 | Liverpool… vs Brighton … | 1-2 |
| Apr 12 | Liverpool… vs Chelsea W… | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | Liverpool… vs Aston Vil… | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | Liverpool… vs Mancheste… | 3-1 |
| Mar 09 | Liverpool… vs Arsenal W… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Liverpool… vs West Ham … | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Liverpool… vs West Ham … | 0-5 |
| Jan 17 | Liverpool… vs Brighton … | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Liverpool Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Chelsea Women | 2 - 1 | Liverpool Women | FA Women's Cup |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Liverpool Women | 0 - 3 | Chelsea Women | FA WSL |
| May 01, 2024 | Liverpool Women | 4 - 3 | Chelsea Women | FA WSL |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Chelsea Women | 5 - 1 | Liverpool Women | FA WSL |
| May 03, 2023 | Chelsea Women | 2 - 1 | Liverpool Women | FA WSL |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Chelsea Women | 3 - 2 | Liverpool Women | FA Women's Cup |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Liverpool Women | 2 - 1 | Chelsea Women | FA WSL |
Final Verdict
PRO: Chelsea Women to win (74% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1
74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Chelsea Women Power
44
Liverpool Women Power
38
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Chelsea Women Position+10
Position Gap12
Liverpool Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.