AI Match Insights

Copa Rio U20 May 03, 2025

Vasco da Gama U20

Home
VS
18:00

Botafogo U20

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Vasco da Gama U20 Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Botafogo U20 Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.00 - 1.02
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.0
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vasco da Gama U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Botafogo U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Vasco da Gama U20 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 Vasco da … vs Botafogo … 1-1
Mar 12 Vasco da … vs América M… 1-1
Jan 10 Vasco da … vs Nacional … 1-1
Sep 28 Vasco da … vs Fluminens… 1-1
Sep 21 Vasco da … vs Fluminens… 1-1
Aug 11 Vasco da … vs Fluminens… 0-1
Jul 21 Vasco da … vs Botafogo … 1-1
Apr 14 Vasco da … vs Botafogo … 2-1
Apr 07 Vasco da … vs Botafogo … 1-1
Dec 13 Vasco da … vs Botafogo … 2-4
Botafogo U20 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 Botafogo … vs Vasco da … 1-1
Apr 16 Botafogo … vs São Paulo… 0-0
Mar 26 Botafogo … vs Juventude… 2-1
Jan 12 Botafogo … vs IAPE U20 2-1
Jul 24 Botafogo … vs Flamengo … 2-1
Jul 21 Botafogo … vs Vasco da … 1-1
Jul 13 Botafogo … vs Flamengo … 3-2
Apr 17 Botafogo … vs São Paulo… 1-3
Apr 14 Botafogo … vs Vasco da … 2-1
Apr 07 Botafogo … vs Vasco da … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 30, 2025 Botafogo U20 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama U20 CBF Brasileiro…
Jul 21, 2024 Botafogo U20 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama U20 Carioca U20
Apr 14, 2024 Vasco da Gama U20 2 - 1 Botafogo U20 Copa Rio U20
Apr 07, 2024 Botafogo U20 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama U20 Copa Rio U20
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vasco da Gama U20 to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vasco da Gama U20 Power 0
Botafogo U20 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.