Segunda División · Sep 08, 2024 18:00
Atenas
PWR 53
Tacuarembó
PWR 45
Atenas
PWR 53
1 - 0
FT
Tacuarembó
PWR 45
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Atenas to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
0-0 (21%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
POINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense70
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.9
Attack36
Defense63
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Atenas Form
LWDLW
STABLE
Tacuarembó Form
WDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS22%
Under 2.579%
Atenas Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Tacuarembó Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Atenasvs
0.38
TacuarembóDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum77%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Atenas+3
Gap#4
Tacuarembó
WR 46% 86 pts
WR 33% 69 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atenas | 52 | 24 | 14 | 14 | 62 | 45 | 86 |
| Tacuarembó | 52 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 54 | 55 | 69 |
Atenas
10.0%
| May 26 | Atenas v Tacuare… | 2-0 |
| Dec 04 | Atenas v Potencia | 3-0 |
| Nov 29 | Atenas v Bella V… | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Atenas v Rentist… | 0-2 |
| Nov 21 | Atenas v Miramar | 0-1 |
| Nov 14 | Atenas v Progreso | 1-1 |
| Oct 15 | Atenas v Tacuare… | 1-0 |
| May 28 | Atenas v Tacuare… | 1-1 |
| Oct 16 | Atenas v Tacuare… | 0-0 |
| Aug 13 | Atenas v Tacuare… | 1-0 |
Tacuarembó
14.0%
| May 26 | Tacuare… v Atenas | 2-0 |
| Dec 03 | Tacuare… v Oriental | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Tacuare… v Uruguay… | 2-0 |
| Nov 26 | Tacuare… v Cerrito | 0-1 |
| Nov 19 | Tacuare… v Albion … | 1-2 |
| Nov 15 | Tacuare… v Potencia | 1-2 |
| Oct 15 | Tacuare… v Atenas | 1-0 |
| May 28 | Tacuare… v Atenas | 1-1 |
| Oct 16 | Tacuare… v Atenas | 0-0 |
| Aug 13 | Tacuare… v Atenas | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| May 26, 2024 | Tacuarembó | 2-0 | Atenas |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Atenas | 1-0 | Tacuarembó |
| May 28, 2023 | Tacuarembó | 1-1 | Atenas |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Tacuarembó | 0-0 | Atenas |
| Aug 13, 2020 | Atenas | 1-0 | Tacuarembó |
Key Factors
Tacuarembó in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.