Predictions Match Details
League One · Sep 23, 2023 14:00

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
1 - 2
FT

Burnley
PWR 25
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (37%) 1-0 (19%) 0-1 (18%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (5%) 0-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Northampton To… Form LLWLD
DOWN
Burnley Form WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.58%
BTTS15%
Under 2.592%
Northampton… Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Burnley Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Northampton To…
vs
0.49
Burnley
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Northampton…
-1
Gap
#12
Burnley
WR 27% 100 pts WR 36% 101 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Northampton Tow…9626224892133100
Burnley77281732117128101
Northampton To… 6.0%
Sep 16 Northam… v Port Va… 1-0
Sep 02 Northam… v Wycombe 0-1
Aug 19 Northam… v Peterbo… 1-0
Aug 05 Northam… v Stevena… 0-1
Apr 01 Northam… v Stevena… 1-1
Feb 14 Northam… v AFC Wim… 0-0
Feb 04 Northam… v Walsall 0-0
Jan 14 Northam… v Stockpo… 2-0
Oct 22 Northam… v Stevena… 2-3
Oct 04 Northam… v Walsall 1-0
Burnley 12.0%
Sep 16 Burnley v Oldham 3-0
Sep 02 Burnley v Tottenh… 2-5
Aug 26 Burnley v Wigan 0-2
Aug 15 Burnley v Peterbo… 1-3
Aug 05 Burnley v Port Va… 7-0
Jul 29 Burnley v Crawley… 1-2
May 08 Burnley v Cardiff 3-0
May 07 Burnley v Peterbo… 0-2
May 07 Burnley v Chester… 3-2
Apr 29 Burnley v Oldham 1-1
Key Factors
Burnley in strong form (3W in last 5)
Northampton Town FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.