AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Aug 24, 2024

Burnley

Home
VS
14:00

Northampton Town FC

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Burnley Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Northampton Town FC Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Northampton Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Burnley Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Burnley vs AFC Wimbl… 2-0
Aug 17 Burnley vs Cardiff 5-0
Aug 17 Burnley vs Lincoln 1-2
Aug 17 Burnley vs Cardiff 5-0
Aug 17 Burnley vs Lincoln 1-2
Aug 17 Burnley vs AFC Wimbl… 2-0
Aug 13 Burnley vs Wigan 1-1
Aug 13 Burnley vs AFC Wimbl… 1-2
Aug 12 Burnley vs Bolton 1-4
Aug 10 Burnley vs Harrogate 0-2
Northampton Town FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Northampt… vs Exeter Ci… 2-1
Aug 13 Northampt… vs Wycombe 0-2
Aug 10 Northampt… vs Bristol C… 1-0
Apr 27 Northampt… vs Burnley 1-1
Apr 27 Northampt… vs Burnley 1-1
Apr 20 Northampt… vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Apr 20 Northampt… vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Apr 13 Northampt… vs Fleetwood… 2-0
Apr 13 Northampt… vs Fleetwood… 2-0
Apr 06 Northampt… vs Carlisle 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Burnley in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Northampton Town FC Pro League
Apr 27, 2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Northampton Town FC League One
Sep 23, 2023 Northampton Town FC 1 - 2 Burnley League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Burnley to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Burnley Power 25
Northampton Town FC Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.