AI Match Insights

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League One Feb 25, 2025

Northampton Town FC

Home
VS
19:45

Burnley

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Northampton Town FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Burnley Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 0.85
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Northampton Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Northampton Town FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Northampt… vs Bristol C… 2-1
Feb 15 Northampt… vs Wrexham 0-2
Feb 07 Northampt… vs Mansfield… 0-1
Feb 01 Northampt… vs Huddersfi… 3-2
Jan 28 Northampt… vs Bolton 3-1
Jan 25 Northampt… vs Wycombe 0-0
Jan 18 Northampt… vs Lincoln 0-1
Jan 04 Northampt… vs Brighton 0-1
Jan 04 Northampt… vs Bolton 0-1
Jan 01 Northampt… vs Stevenage 0-0
Burnley Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Burnley vs Harrogate 2-0
Feb 22 Burnley vs Rotherham… 0-1
Feb 21 Burnley vs Sheffield… 4-0
Feb 15 Burnley vs Preston 0-0
Feb 15 Burnley vs Fleetwood… 1-0
Feb 15 Burnley vs Huddersfi… 1-2
Feb 12 Burnley vs Hull City 2-0
Feb 08 Burnley vs Stockport 2-1
Feb 08 Burnley vs Milton Ke… 0-1
Feb 04 Burnley vs Watford 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Northampton Town FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Burnley in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 24, 2024 Burnley 2 - 2 Northampton Town FC League One
Aug 24, 2024 Burnley 2 - 2 Northampton Town FC Pro League
Apr 27, 2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Northampton Town FC Pro League
Apr 27, 2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Northampton Town FC League One
Sep 23, 2023 Northampton Town FC 1 - 2 Burnley League One
Final Verdict

PRO: Northampton Town FC to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 76
Northampton Town FC Power 31
Burnley Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.