AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 May 10, 2025

JS Saoura

Home
VS
17:00

Mostaganem

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
JS Saoura Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Mostaganem Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.14 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
JS Saoura Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Mostaganem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
JS Saoura Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 05 JS Saoura vs El Bayadh 1-0
Mar 07 JS Saoura vs ES Sétif 1-0
Feb 18 JS Saoura vs Khenchela 1-3
Jan 29 JS Saoura vs MC Alger 1-0
Jan 02 JS Saoura vs Khenchela 2-1
Dec 27 JS Saoura vs CS Consta… 2-0
Dec 21 JS Saoura vs Paradou AC 2-0
Nov 23 JS Saoura vs Mostaganem 1-1
Oct 25 JS Saoura vs El Bayadh 1-0
Oct 11 JS Saoura vs ES Sétif 3-2
Mostaganem Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Mostaganem vs Oued Akbou 1-1
Mar 26 Mostaganem vs Usm El Ha… 1-1
Feb 19 Mostaganem vs MC Oran 1-0
Feb 13 Mostaganem vs CS Consta… 0-0
Nov 30 Mostaganem vs El Bayadh 1-1
Nov 23 Mostaganem vs JS Saoura 1-1
Nov 03 Mostaganem vs Oued Akbou 1-2
Oct 02 Mostaganem vs CS Consta… 0-0
Sep 28 Mostaganem vs MC Oran 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • JS Saoura struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2024 Mostaganem 1 - 1 JS Saoura Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: JS Saoura to win (46% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
JS Saoura Power 0
Mostaganem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

JS Saoura Position

+11

Position Gap

15

Mostaganem Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.