AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Jan 27, 2024

Linfield

Home
VS
15:00

Dungannon Swifts

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Linfield Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Dungannon Swifts Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 8%
xG: 4.29 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Linfield Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Linfield Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Linfield vs Crusaders… 1-0
Jan 16 Linfield vs Dungannon… 1-2
Jan 02 Linfield vs Crusaders… 0-1
Dec 30 Linfield vs Larne 1-1
Dec 26 Linfield vs Glentoran 2-0
Dec 22 Linfield vs Coleraine… 2-1
Dec 09 Linfield vs Dungannon… 4-3
Dec 05 Linfield vs Larne 2-2
Nov 25 Linfield vs Ballymena… 4-0
Nov 11 Linfield vs Larne 1-2
Dungannon Swifts Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Dungannon… vs Larne 0-2
Jan 16 Dungannon… vs Linfield 1-2
Jan 13 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 2-4
Dec 23 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 1-2
Dec 09 Dungannon… vs Linfield 4-3
Nov 11 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 2-3
Nov 04 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 1-0
Oct 28 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 1-1
Oct 21 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 1-4
Oct 13 Dungannon… vs Larne 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Linfield in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Dungannon Swifts struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 16, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 2 Linfield League Cup
Dec 09, 2023 Linfield 4 - 3 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Aug 12, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 3 Linfield Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Linfield Power 0
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Linfield Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Dungannon Swifts Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.