AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Aug 17, 2024

Linfield

Home
VS
14:00

Dungannon Swifts

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Linfield Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Dungannon Swifts Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Linfield Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Linfield Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Linfield vs Ballymena… 0-2
Aug 05 Linfield vs H&W Welde… 0-9
Jul 13 Linfield vs Bangor 1-4
Apr 22 Linfield vs Larne 1-1
Apr 16 Linfield vs Coleraine… 2-2
Apr 12 Linfield vs Crusaders… 1-2
Apr 06 Linfield vs Glentoran 0-0
Apr 02 Linfield vs Carrick R… 2-3
Mar 29 Linfield vs Glentoran 1-3
Mar 16 Linfield vs Newry Cit… 6-0
Dungannon Swifts Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 3-0
Apr 20 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 2-0
Apr 06 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 3-2
Mar 16 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 0-3
Mar 09 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 4-0
Feb 17 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 2-1
Feb 10 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 2-2
Jan 27 Dungannon… vs Linfield 1-2
Jan 20 Dungannon… vs Larne 0-2
Jan 16 Dungannon… vs Linfield 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Linfield in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Dungannon Swifts in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 27, 2024 Linfield 1 - 2 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 16, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 2 Linfield League Cup
Dec 09, 2023 Linfield 4 - 3 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Aug 12, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 3 Linfield Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Linfield Power 0
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Linfield Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Dungannon Swifts Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.