AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Oct 25, 2024

CancĂșn

Home
VS
23:00

Monarcas

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
CancĂșn Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Monarcas Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 37%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.16 - 0.92
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.9
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CancĂșn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Monarcas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
CancĂșn Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 5-2
Sep 07 CancĂșn vs Leones Ne
 0-1
Aug 11 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 0-2
May 19 CancĂșn vs Atlante FC 0-0
May 16 CancĂșn vs Atlante FC 1-1
Apr 28 CancĂșn vs Atlante FC 2-1
Apr 26 CancĂșn vs Atlante FC 0-1
Apr 10 CancĂșn vs Dorados 2-2
Apr 04 CancĂșn vs Venados FC 2-0
Mar 27 CancĂșn vs TapatĂ­o 1-1
Monarcas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Monarcas vs Mineros d
 0-0
Oct 11 Monarcas vs Correcami
 3-0
Aug 25 Monarcas vs Alebrijes
 1-1
Jul 28 Monarcas vs CDS Tampi
 1-1
Apr 13 Monarcas vs Alebrijes
 3-3
Apr 05 Monarcas vs Leones Ne
 0-2
Mar 29 Monarcas vs Venados FC 3-4
Mar 24 Monarcas vs Atlante FC 0-0
Mar 22 Monarcas vs Celaya 1-2
Mar 15 Monarcas vs CancĂșn 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 15, 2024 Monarcas 0 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Aug 20, 2023 CancĂșn 2 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Mar 02, 2023 CancĂșn 1 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Sep 23, 2022 Monarcas 0 - 0 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Feb 18, 2022 Monarcas 4 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Oct 14, 2021 CancĂșn 0 - 1 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CancĂșn Power 0
Monarcas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

CancĂșn Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Monarcas Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.