AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Oct 16, 2023

Algeria

Home
VS
16:00

Egypt

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Algeria Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Egypt Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.90 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Algeria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Egypt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (33%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
Algeria Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 08 Algeria vs Paris FC 1-7
Sep 27 Algeria vs Algeria 2-1
Jun 12 Algeria vs Bulgaria 0-0
Jun 05 Algeria vs Bulgaria 2-5
Jan 23 Algeria vs Tunisia 0-1
Jan 16 Algeria vs Equatoria… 0-1
Jan 11 Algeria vs Egypt 1-0
Dec 07 Algeria vs Egypt 1-1
Dec 01 Algeria vs Sudan 4-0
Nov 16 Algeria vs Burkina F… 2-2
Egypt Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Egypt vs Arsenal 1-0
Mar 25 Egypt vs Arsenal 1-0
Feb 06 Egypt vs Arsenal 0-0
Jan 26 Egypt vs Ivory Coa… 0-0
Jan 11 Egypt vs Algeria 1-0
Dec 11 Egypt vs Jordan 3-1
Dec 07 Egypt vs Algeria 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2022 Algeria 1 - 0 Egypt Africa Cup of …
Dec 07, 2021 Algeria 1 - 1 Egypt Arab Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Algeria to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Algeria Power 0
Egypt Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.