AI Match Insights

Primera División May 04, 2025

CS Herediano

Home
VS
02:00

Puntarenas FC

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
CS Herediano Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Puntarenas FC Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 4.11 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
CS Herediano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Puntarenas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
CS Herediano Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 CS Heredi… vs Municipal… 0-1
Mar 30 CS Heredi… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Mar 27 CS Heredi… vs Perez Zel… 3-0
Mar 17 CS Heredi… vs Sporting … 1-3
Feb 09 CS Heredi… vs Municipal… 2-1
Feb 02 CS Heredi… vs Sporting … 2-0
Jan 31 CS Heredi… vs Perez Zel… 0-1
Jan 26 CS Heredi… vs Deportivo… 3-1
Jan 12 CS Heredi… vs Puntarena… 1-1
Dec 19 CS Heredi… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Puntarenas FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Puntarena… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Apr 06 Puntarena… vs Municipal… 1-1
Mar 30 Puntarena… vs CS Cartag… 1-0
Mar 06 Puntarena… vs CS Cartag… 1-0
Feb 22 Puntarena… vs Municipal… 2-0
Feb 13 Puntarena… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Jan 12 Puntarena… vs CS Heredi… 1-1
Nov 10 Puntarena… vs CS Cartag… 3-2
Oct 19 Puntarena… vs Municipal… 4-2
Oct 17 Puntarena… vs CS Heredi… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • CS Herediano in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 12, 2025 Puntarenas FC 1 - 1 CS Herediano Primera Divisi…
Oct 17, 2024 Puntarenas FC 0 - 2 CS Herediano Primera Divisi…
Jul 24, 2024 CS Herediano 2 - 0 Puntarenas FC Primera Divisi…
May 09, 2024 CS Herediano 3 - 0 Puntarenas FC Primera Divisi…
Mar 02, 2024 Puntarenas FC 0 - 0 CS Herediano Primera Divisi…
Oct 22, 2023 CS Herediano 2 - 1 Puntarenas FC Primera Divisi…
Aug 21, 2023 Puntarenas FC 3 - 2 CS Herediano Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CS Herediano to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CS Herediano Power 0
Puntarenas FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

CS Herediano Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Puntarenas FC Position

Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.