AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
World Cup - Qualification Oceania Nov 14, 2024

Solomon Islands

Home
VS
03:00

New Caledonia

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Solomon Islands Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
New Caledonia Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Solomon Islands Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
New Caledonia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Solomon Islands Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 10 Solomon I… vs Fiji 0-1
Jun 18 Solomon I… vs New Zeala… 3-0
Dec 01 Solomon I… vs New Caled… 2-2
Oct 14 Solomon I… vs New Caled… 1-0
Oct 08 Solomon I… vs Papua New… 1-3
Mar 27 Solomon I… vs Papua New… 3-2
New Caledonia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 10 New Caled… vs Papua New… 3-1
Dec 01 New Caled… vs Solomon I… 2-2
Nov 17 New Caled… vs IR Iran U… 5-0
Nov 14 New Caled… vs Brazil U17 9-0
Oct 14 New Caled… vs Solomon I… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • New Caledonia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 01, 2023 Solomon Islands 2 - 2 New Caledonia Pacific Games
Oct 14, 2023 Solomon Islands 1 - 0 New Caledonia Friendlies
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Solomon Islands to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Solomon Islands Power 0
New Caledonia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.