AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Dec 05, 2025

Melbourne Victory Women

Home
VS
08:00

Canberra United Women

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Melbourne Victory Women Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Canberra United Women Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 3.22 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Melbourne Victory Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 3-0
Nov 23 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Nov 15 Melbourne… vs Central C… 1-0
Nov 09 Melbourne… vs Western S… 1-4
Nov 01 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 3-2
May 18 Melbourne… vs Central C… 1-1
May 10 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 3-1
May 04 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-3
Apr 19 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 2-0
Apr 11 Melbourne… vs Central C… 0-1
Canberra United Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 3-0
Nov 14 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 2-1
Nov 08 Canberra … vs Wellingto… 1-1
Nov 02 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 1-2
Apr 28 Canberra … vs Central C… 2-1
Apr 19 Canberra … vs Western S… 1-3
Apr 13 Canberra … vs Wellingto… 1-0
Mar 29 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 1-2
Mar 22 Canberra … vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Mar 14 Canberra … vs Western U… 4-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne Victory Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Canberra United Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2025 Melbourne Victory W… 2 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Dec 21, 2024 Canberra United Wom… 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Jan 20, 2024 Canberra United Wom… 2 - 3 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Dec 16, 2023 Melbourne Victory W… 2 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Mar 18, 2023 Canberra United Wom… 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Dec 31, 2022 Melbourne Victory W… 1 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Mar 04, 2022 Melbourne Victory W… 0 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Feb 22, 2022 Canberra United Wom… 2 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 28, 2021 Melbourne Victory W… 1 - 1 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Canberra United Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Canberra United Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.