J1 League · May 03, 2025 05:00

Shimizu S-Pulse
PWR 35
0 - 3
FT

Nagoya Grampus
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Shimizu S-Pulse to win (93% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
93%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Shimizu S-Pulse Form WWWDL
UP
Nagoya Grampus Form LLWDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS23%
Under 2.574%
Shimizu S-P… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Nagoya Gram… Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Shimizu S-Pulse
vs
0.35
Nagoya Grampus
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Shimizu S-P…
+2
Gap
#16
Nagoya Gram…
WR 32% 44 pts WR 16% 43 pts
Shimizu S-Pulse 14.0%
Apr 29 Shimizu… v FC Tokyo 0-2
Apr 20 Shimizu… v Avispa … 3-1
Apr 16 Shimizu… v Yokoham… 2-3
Apr 12 Shimizu… v Kawasak… 1-1
Apr 09 Shimizu… v Júbilo … 2-1
Apr 06 Shimizu… v Yokoham… 2-0
Mar 26 Shimizu… v Sagamih… 1-3
Mar 02 Shimizu… v Fagiano… 1-1
Nov 10 Shimizu… v Roasso … 1-0
Nov 03 Shimizu… v Iwaki 1-0
Nagoya Grampus 6.0%
Apr 29 Nagoya … v Kashiwa… 1-2
Apr 25 Nagoya … v Kashima 1-0
Apr 20 Nagoya … v Sanfrec… 2-1
Apr 16 Nagoya … v Katalle… 1-1
Apr 12 Nagoya … v Gamba O… 2-0
Apr 06 Nagoya … v Shonan … 2-1
Mar 20 Nagoya … v Tegevaj… 0-3
Dec 08 Nagoya … v Yokoham… 0-2
Nov 30 Nagoya … v Sagan T… 0-3
Nov 09 Nagoya … v Kashima 0-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Mar 03, 2024 Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Shimizu S-Pul…
Jul 10, 2022 Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Shimizu S-Pul…
May 21, 2022 Shimizu S-Pul… 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Apr 23, 2022 Shimizu S-Pul… 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Feb 23, 2022 Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Shimizu S-Pul…
Aug 29, 2021 Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Shimizu S-Pul…
May 15, 2021 Shimizu S-Pul… 0-3 Nagoya Grampus
Sep 26, 2020 Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Shimizu S-Pul…
Key Factors
Shimizu S-Pulse in strong form (3W in last 5)
Nagoya Grampus struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.