AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azadegan League Sep 17, 2025

Nassaji Mazandaran

Home
VS
13:00

Shahrdari Noshahr

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Nassaji Mazandaran Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Shahrdari Noshahr Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 84%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.62 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nassaji Mazandaran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Shahrdari Noshahr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Nassaji Mazandaran Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 10 Nassaji M… vs Sanat Naft 0-0
Sep 03 Nassaji M… vs Pars Jono… 0-2
Aug 28 Nassaji M… vs Naft Band… 0-0
May 01 Nassaji M… vs Havadar 0-0
Dec 20 Nassaji M… vs Havadar 0-1
Nov 24 Nassaji M… vs Mes Shahr… 1-0
May 28 Nassaji M… vs Havadar 0-5
Mar 07 Nassaji M… vs Sanat Naft 1-1
Dec 24 Nassaji M… vs Havadar 2-2
Aug 29 Nassaji M… vs Sanat Naft 3-1
Shahrdari Noshahr Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 10 Shahrdari… vs Damash Gi… 1-1
Sep 04 Shahrdari… vs Shenavars… 1-0
Aug 29 Shahrdari… vs Be'sat Ke… 1-0
May 18 Shahrdari… vs Damash Gi… 1-2
May 06 Shahrdari… vs Niroye Za… 1-0
May 01 Shahrdari… vs Be'sat Ke… 1-0
Apr 26 Shahrdari… vs Sanat Naft 1-0
Apr 11 Shahrdari… vs Mes Soong… 0-0
Apr 05 Shahrdari… vs Mes Kerman 0-0
Mar 17 Shahrdari… vs Saipa 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

PRO: Nassaji Mazandaran to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nassaji Mazandaran Power 0
Shahrdari Noshahr Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Nassaji Mazandaran Position

+12

Position Gap

13

Shahrdari Noshahr Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.