FAI Cup · Sep 12, 2025 18:45
Derry City
PWR 72
Sligo Rovers
PWR 50
Derry City
PWR 72
4 - 3
FT
Sligo Rovers
PWR 50
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Derry City to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
0-0 (21%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-3
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack78
Defense62
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.1
Attack53
Defense48
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.5
Derry City Form
DDDWW
STABLE
Sligo Rovers Form
DWWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS27%
Under 2.579%
Derry City Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Sligo Rovers Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Derry Cityvs
0.54
Sligo RoversDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Derry City+8
Gap#9
Sligo Rovers
WR 77% 32 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 14 | 32 |
| Sligo Rovers | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Derry City
14.0%
| Sep 05 | Derry C… v Cobh Ra… | 1-1 |
| Aug 29 | Derry C… v St Patr… | 2-2 |
| Aug 29 | Derry C… v Dundalk | 3-3 |
| Aug 22 | Derry C… v Galaxy | 1-2 |
| Aug 22 | Derry C… v Longfor… | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Derry C… v Droghed… | 1-1 |
| Aug 15 | Derry C… v Cobh Ra… | 2-0 |
| Aug 08 | Derry C… v Cork Ci… | 0-0 |
| Aug 08 | Derry C… v Finn Ha… | 0-1 |
| Aug 04 | Derry C… v Treaty … | 1-1 |
Sligo Rovers
10.0%
| Aug 30 | Sligo R… v Bohemia… | 0-0 |
| Aug 22 | Sligo R… v Waterfo… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Sligo R… v Bohemia… | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Sligo R… v St Patr… | 3-0 |
| Aug 02 | Sligo R… v Shelbou… | 0-2 |
| Jul 25 | Sligo R… v Cork Ci… | 2-3 |
| Jul 18 | Sligo R… v Dundalk | 0-2 |
| Jul 12 | Sligo R… v Derry C… | 2-0 |
| Jul 05 | Sligo R… v Shamroc… | 2-2 |
| Jun 27 | Sligo R… v Bohemia… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jul 12, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 2-0 | Derry City |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Derry City | 3-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 0-1 | Derry City |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 2-3 | Derry City |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Derry City | 1-1 | Sligo Rovers |
| Jul 04, 2024 | Sligo Rovers | 2-1 | Derry City |
| May 24, 2024 | Derry City | 2-2 | Sligo Rovers |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Sligo Rovers | 0-0 | Derry City |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.