Primera División - Clausura · Nov 09, 2025 19:30
Defensor Sporting
PWR 45
Club Nacional
PWR 62
Defensor Sporting
PWR 45
1 - 1
FT
Club Nacional
PWR 62
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Club Nacional to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (39%)
0-1 (25%)
1-0 (12%)
0-2 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
1-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack34
Defense63
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Attack60
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Defensor Sport… Form
LLWLL
DOWN
Club Nacional Form
DDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.57%
BTTS12%
Under 2.593%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Defensor Sport…vs
0.64
Club NacionalDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Defensor Sp…-6
Gap#2
Club Nacion…
WR 39% 43 pts
WR 54% 71 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporti… | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 43 |
| Club Nacional | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 63 | 31 | 71 |
Defensor Sport…
4.0%
| Nov 02 | Defenso… v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Oct 24 | Defenso… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Oct 19 | Defenso… v Progreso | 2-3 |
| Oct 16 | Defenso… v Peñarol… | 0-2 |
| Oct 11 | Defenso… v Cerrito | 1-0 |
| Oct 06 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 2-1 |
| Oct 02 | Defenso… v Central… | 2-0 |
| Sep 29 | Defenso… v Miramar | 0-0 |
| Sep 19 | Defenso… v Danubio | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | Defenso… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
Club Nacional
14.0%
| Nov 01 | Club Na… v Cerrito | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Club Na… v Rangers… | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Club Na… v Miramar | 3-1 |
| Oct 12 | Club Na… v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Club Na… v Juventud | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Sep 14 | Club Na… v Plaza C… | 1-2 |
| Sep 07 | Club Na… v Racing … | 3-0 |
| Aug 30 | Club Na… v River P… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Dec 06, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-2 | Defensor Spor… |
| Dec 04, 2023 | Club Nacional | 1-0 | Defensor Spor… |
Key Factors
Defensor Sporting struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.