Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Nov 09, 2025 19:30

Atletico Torque
PWR 54
0 - 2
FT

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 11.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack56
Defense59
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Atletico Torque Form WWLDL
STABLE
Peñarol Montev… Form LWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS49%
Under 2.543%
Atletico To… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Atletico Torque
vs
0.77
Peñarol Montev…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Atletico To…
-5
Gap
#1
Peñarol Mon…
WR 48% 45 pts WR 60% 122 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Atletico Torque271368433245
Peñarol Montevi…603614109549122
Atletico Torque 10.0%
Nov 01 Atletic… v Progreso 0-5
Oct 24 Atletic… v Defenso… 0-1
Oct 18 Atletic… v Cerro 1-2
Oct 12 Atletic… v Rangers… 2-2
Sep 28 Atletic… v Danubio 2-0
Sep 20 Atletic… v Cerro L… 1-0
Sep 14 Atletic… v Juventud 0-1
Sep 07 Atletic… v Peñarol… 1-1
Aug 31 Atletic… v Plaza C… 2-4
Aug 24 Atletic… v Racing … 4-0
Peñarol Montev… 8.0%
Nov 07 Peñarol… v Cerro L… 2-0
Nov 02 Peñarol… v Defenso… 2-1
Nov 01 Peñarol… v Juventud 0-1
Oct 26 Peñarol… v Progreso 3-1
Oct 25 Peñarol… v Cerro 2-0
Oct 20 Peñarol… v Plaza C… 0-1
Oct 19 Peñarol… v Rangers… 3-0
Oct 16 Peñarol… v Defenso… 0-2
Oct 11 Peñarol… v Miramar 2-2
Oct 11 Peñarol… v Racing … 2-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 07, 2025 Atletico Torq… 1-1 Peñarol Monte…
May 17, 2025 Peñarol Monte… 2-1 Atletico Torq…
Apr 17, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 1-3 Atletico Torq…
Oct 18, 2023 Atletico Torq… 2-3 Peñarol Monte…
Jul 03, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 2-0 Atletico Torq…
Mar 12, 2023 Peñarol Monte… 2-2 Atletico Torq…
Sep 24, 2022 Peñarol Monte… 0-1 Atletico Torq…
Jun 12, 2022 Peñarol Monte… 1-2 Atletico Torq…
Apr 23, 2022 Atletico Torq… 0-1 Peñarol Monte…
Oct 20, 2021 Peñarol Monte… 3-1 Atletico Torq…
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.