La Liga · Dec 06, 2025 15:15
Alavés
PWR 32
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Alavés
PWR 32
1 - 0
FT
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense63
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.2
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Alavés Form
LLLWL
DOWN
Real Sociedad Form
LWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS36%
Under 2.569%
Alavés Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Real Socied… Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Alavésvs
0.72
Real SociedadDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Alavés-1
Gap#9
Real Socied…
WR 46% 25 pts
WR 18% 28 pts
Alavés
4.0%
| Nov 29 | Alavés v Barcelo… | 3-1 |
| Nov 22 | Alavés v Celta d… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | Alavés v Girona | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Alavés v Espanyol | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Alavés v Rayo Va… | 1-0 |
| Oct 20 | Alavés v Valencia | 0-0 |
| Oct 05 | Alavés v Elche | 3-1 |
| Sep 27 | Alavés v Mallorca | 1-0 |
| Sep 24 | Alavés v Getafe | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Alavés v Sevilla… | 1-2 |
Real Sociedad
12.0%
| Nov 30 | Real So… v Villarr… | 2-3 |
| Nov 22 | Real So… v Osasuna | 1-3 |
| Nov 18 | Real So… v Newcast… | 0-0 |
| Nov 07 | Real So… v Elche | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Real So… v Athleti… | 3-2 |
| Oct 24 | Real So… v Sevilla… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Real So… v Celta d… | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Real So… v Rayo Va… | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Real So… v Barcelo… | 2-1 |
| Sep 24 | Real So… v Mallorca | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 23, 2025 | Alavés | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-2 | Alavés |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-2 | Alavés |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Alavés | 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Alavés | 0-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Alavés | 0-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Jan 02, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Alavés |
| Jan 02, 2024 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Alavés |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Real Sociedad | 1-0 | Alavés |
| Jan 02, 2022 | Alavés | 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
Key Factors
Alavés struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.