Ligue A · Apr 06, 2025 13:00
Le Messager Ngozi
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Dynamik
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Le Messager Ngozi to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Le Messager Ng… Form DDLLW
STABLE
Dynamik Form LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS34%
Under 2.559%
Le Messager… Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Dynamik Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Le Messager Ng…
vs
0.51
Dynamik
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Le Messager…
+3
Gap
#14
Dynamik
WR 11% 19 pts WR 11% 15 pts
Le Messager Ng… 8.0%
Feb 23 Le Mess… v Flambea… 0-0
Jan 26 Le Mess… v Ngozi C… 1-1
Nov 24 Le Mess… v Ngozi C… 3-0
Nov 10 Le Mess… v Flambea… 1-0
Sep 27 Le Mess… v Dynamik 1-2
Sep 01 Le Mess… v Bumamuru 2-2
Apr 28 Le Mess… v Flambea… 3-0
Feb 18 Le Mess… v Bumamuru 2-0
Jan 19 Le Mess… v Dynamik 1-2
Nov 26 Le Mess… v Dynamik 0-0
Dynamik 2.0%
Mar 29 Dynamik v Musonga… 0-3
Feb 22 Dynamik v Rukinzo 0-2
Nov 11 Dynamik v Rukinzo 3-2
Oct 27 Dynamik v Musonga… 0-0
Sep 27 Dynamik v Le Mess… 1-2
Sep 22 Dynamik v Olympic… 0-0
May 04 Dynamik v Olympic… 4-1
Feb 25 Dynamik v Musonga… 1-1
Jan 23 Dynamik v Rukinzo 3-3
Jan 19 Dynamik v Le Mess… 1-2
Head-to-Head (8)
Sep 27, 2024 Dynamik 1-2 Le Messager N…
Jan 19, 2024 Dynamik 1-2 Le Messager N…
Nov 26, 2023 Le Messager N… 0-0 Dynamik
Jan 22, 2023 Dynamik 0-3 Le Messager N…
Dec 04, 2022 Le Messager N… 2-1 Dynamik
May 04, 2022 Le Messager N… 0-0 Dynamik
Nov 21, 2021 Dynamik 1-2 Le Messager N…
Jan 24, 2021 Dynamik 0-1 Le Messager N…
Key Factors
Dynamik struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.