AI Match Insights
Copa Santa Catarina Oct 16, 2024
MarcĂlio Dias
HomeVS
00:30
Figueirense
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
MarcĂlio Dias Win
Draw
Figueirense Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.51 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
MarcĂlio Dias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%)
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
MarcĂlio Dias Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | MarcĂlio … vs Joinville | 2-2 |
| Sep 15 | MarcĂlio … vs Barra | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | MarcĂlio … vs SĂŁo Berna… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | MarcĂlio … vs Figueiren… | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | MarcĂlio … vs Jataiense | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | MarcĂlio … vs Bandeiran… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | MarcĂlio … vs Chapecoen… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | MarcĂlio … vs Barra | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | MarcĂlio … vs Joinville | 2-3 |
| Oct 21 | MarcĂlio … vs Figueiren… | 2-2 |
Figueirense Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 | Figueiren… vs Joinville | 0-0 |
| Sep 15 | Figueiren… vs Zumbi | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Figueiren… vs Concórdia | 3-0 |
| Aug 24 | Figueiren… vs Volta Red… | 1-0 |
| Aug 18 | Figueiren… vs São José … | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Figueiren… vs Bahia de … | 5-1 |
| Feb 22 | Figueiren… vs MarcĂlio … | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Figueiren… vs Fluminense | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Figueiren… vs Avaà | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Figueiren… vs Atlético … | 2-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Figueirense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | MarcĂlio Dias | 2 - 0 | Figueirense | Catarinense - 1 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Figueirense | 2 - 2 | MarcĂlio Dias | Copa Santa Cat… |
| Feb 09, 2023 | Figueirense | 2 - 1 | MarcĂlio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: MarcĂlio Dias to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
MarcĂlio Dias Power
0
Figueirense Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.