AI Match Insights

Sapling Cup Nov 16, 2024

Eastern

Home
VS
10:00

Hong Kong FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Eastern Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Hong Kong FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 2%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Eastern Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Hong Kong FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Eastern Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Eastern vs North Dis… 2-1
Nov 02 Eastern vs Wofoo Tai… 1-1
Oct 19 Eastern vs Hong Kong… 4-0
Oct 13 Eastern vs Wofoo Tai… 2-1
Oct 06 Eastern vs Warriors 1-2
Sep 28 Eastern vs North Dis… 0-2
Sep 22 Eastern vs Kowloon C… 1-1
Sep 12 Eastern vs North Dis… 5-1
May 26 Eastern vs North Dis… 1-2
May 22 Eastern vs Hong Kong… 5-0
Hong Kong FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Hong Kong… vs Eastern 4-0
Oct 15 Hong Kong… vs Zambia 3-0
Oct 05 Hong Kong… vs Kitchee 4-0
Sep 29 Hong Kong… vs Kowloon C… 0-2
May 22 Hong Kong… vs Eastern 5-0
May 07 Hong Kong… vs Wofoo Tai… 3-0
Apr 28 Hong Kong… vs Wofoo Tai… 0-3
Mar 09 Hong Kong… vs Kitchee 2-0
Mar 03 Hong Kong… vs Kitchee 1-3
Sep 07 Hong Kong… vs Zambia 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Eastern in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Hong Kong FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2024 Eastern 4 - 0 Hong Kong FC Premier League
May 22, 2024 Eastern 5 - 0 Hong Kong FC Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Eastern to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Eastern Power 0
Hong Kong FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.