AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 14, 2024

Aberdeen

Home
VS
19:45

Motherwell

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Aberdeen Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Motherwell Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.92 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Aberdeen Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Aberdeen vs Bonnyrigg… 2-0
Feb 06 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 2-1
Feb 03 Aberdeen vs Celtic 1-1
Jan 30 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Jan 19 Aberdeen vs Clyde 0-2
Dec 30 Aberdeen vs St. Mirren 0-3
Dec 20 Aberdeen vs Livingston 2-1
Dec 17 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 1-0
Dec 06 Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock 0-1
Dec 03 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 2-0
Motherwell Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Motherwell vs Morton 2-1
Feb 06 Motherwell vs Ross Coun… 5-0
Feb 03 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Jan 20 Motherwell vs Alloa Ath… 3-1
Jan 02 Motherwell vs Hibernian 2-2
Dec 30 Motherwell vs Livingston 3-1
Dec 24 Motherwell vs Rangers FC 0-2
Dec 16 Motherwell vs St. Mirren 0-0
Dec 05 Motherwell vs Ross Coun… 3-0
Dec 02 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 3-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 01, 2023 Motherwell 2 - 4 Aberdeen Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aberdeen Power 0
Motherwell Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Aberdeen Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Motherwell Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.