AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Mar 16, 2024

Motherwell

Home
VS
15:00

Aberdeen

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Motherwell Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Aberdeen Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Motherwell Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Motherwell vs Rangers FC 1-2
Feb 28 Motherwell vs Livingston 1-3
Feb 25 Motherwell vs Celtic 1-3
Feb 17 Motherwell vs Heart of … 2-0
Feb 14 Motherwell vs Aberdeen 3-3
Feb 09 Motherwell vs Morton 2-1
Feb 06 Motherwell vs Ross Coun… 5-0
Feb 03 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Jan 20 Motherwell vs Alloa Ath… 3-1
Jan 02 Motherwell vs Hibernian 2-2
Aberdeen Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Mar 09 Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock 3-1
Mar 02 Aberdeen vs St. Mirren 2-1
Feb 24 Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock 2-0
Feb 17 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 2-2
Feb 14 Aberdeen vs Motherwell 3-3
Feb 10 Aberdeen vs Bonnyrigg… 2-0
Feb 06 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 2-1
Feb 03 Aberdeen vs Celtic 1-1
Jan 30 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aberdeen struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 14, 2024 Aberdeen 3 - 3 Motherwell Premiership
Nov 01, 2023 Motherwell 2 - 4 Aberdeen Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Motherwell Power 0
Aberdeen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Motherwell Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Aberdeen Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.