AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Jan 05, 2025

Motherwell

Home
VS
14:30

Aberdeen

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Motherwell Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Aberdeen Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 4.50 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Motherwell Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 02 Motherwell vs Heart of … 1-0
Dec 29 Motherwell vs Rangers FC 2-2
Dec 26 Motherwell vs Celtic 4-0
Dec 20 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Dec 14 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 4-3
Dec 07 Motherwell vs St. Mirren 0-1
Dec 04 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 4-1
Nov 30 Motherwell vs Hibernian 0-3
Nov 23 Motherwell vs Ross Coun… 2-1
Nov 03 Motherwell vs Rangers FC 1-2
Aberdeen Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Dec 26 Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock 4-0
Dec 21 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 1-3
Dec 04 Aberdeen vs Celtic 0-1
Nov 26 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 3-3
Nov 23 Aberdeen vs St. Mirren 2-1
Nov 09 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 4-1
Nov 02 Aberdeen vs Celtic 6-0
Oct 30 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 2-1
Oct 26 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aberdeen struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2024 Aberdeen 2 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Apr 27, 2024 Aberdeen 1 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Motherwell 0 - 1 Aberdeen Premiership
Feb 14, 2024 Aberdeen 3 - 3 Motherwell Premiership
Nov 01, 2023 Motherwell 2 - 4 Aberdeen Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Motherwell Power 0
Aberdeen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Motherwell Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Aberdeen Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.