AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Mar 29, 2025

Aberdeen

Home
VS
15:00

Motherwell

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Aberdeen Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Motherwell Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.63 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.4
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Aberdeen Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Aberdeen vs Queen's P… 4-1
Mar 02 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 2-2
Feb 25 Aberdeen vs Celtic 5-1
Feb 22 Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock 1-0
Feb 15 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-2
Feb 09 Aberdeen vs Dunfermli… 3-0
Feb 01 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 2-0
Jan 25 Aberdeen vs St. Mirren 0-3
Jan 18 Aberdeen vs Elgin City 0-3
Jan 15 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 3-0
Motherwell Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Motherwell vs St. Mirren 2-2
Mar 01 Motherwell vs Rangers FC 1-2
Feb 26 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 2-1
Feb 22 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Feb 15 Motherwell vs Ross Coun… 0-3
Feb 02 Motherwell vs Celtic 1-3
Jan 18 Motherwell vs ST Johnst… 1-0
Jan 11 Motherwell vs Hibernian 3-1
Jan 08 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 0-0
Jan 05 Motherwell vs Aberdeen 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aberdeen in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 05, 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen Premiership
Sep 14, 2024 Aberdeen 2 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Apr 27, 2024 Aberdeen 1 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Motherwell 0 - 1 Aberdeen Premiership
Feb 14, 2024 Aberdeen 3 - 3 Motherwell Premiership
Nov 01, 2023 Motherwell 2 - 4 Aberdeen Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aberdeen Power 0
Motherwell Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Aberdeen Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Motherwell Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.