1a DivisiĂł · May 05, 2024 11:30

Penya Encarnada
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT
Esperança d'Andorra
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 69%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Penya Encarnada Form LDLLD
STABLE
Esperança d'An… Form WLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS63%
Under 2.539%
Penya Encar… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Esperança d… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Penya Encarnada
vs
1.01
Esperança d'An…
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings64%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Penya Encar…
+3
Gap
#9
Esperança d…
WR 33% 14 pts WR 0% 2 pts
Penya Encarnada 4.0%
Apr 21 Penya E… v FC Sant… 2-4
Apr 13 Penya E… v UE Sant… 1-1
Apr 07 Penya E… v Inter C… 1-2
Mar 17 Penya E… v UE Sant… 1-0
Mar 10 Penya E… v Pas de … 2-2
Mar 03 Penya E… v Ordino 2-1
Feb 25 Penya E… v Pas de … 0-1
Feb 18 Penya E… v UE Sant… 0-0
Feb 11 Penya E… v Carroi 4-1
Feb 04 Penya E… v Inter C… 0-2
Esperança d'An… 4.0%
Apr 27 Esperan… v Carroi 2-0
Apr 21 Esperan… v Inter C… 4-0
Apr 07 Esperan… v FC Sant… 0-6
Mar 10 Esperan… v FC Sant… 2-0
Mar 03 Esperan… v Inter C… 1-3
Feb 18 Esperan… v Pas de … 0-0
Feb 10 Esperan… v FC Sant… 6-1
Feb 04 Esperan… v FC Sant… 6-0
Jan 28 Esperan… v Inter C… 0-5
Jan 20 Esperan… v Carroi 0-4
Head-to-Head (2)
Dec 03, 2023 Esperança d'A… 0-3 Penya Encarna…
Sep 17, 2023 Penya Encarna… 1-0 Esperança d'A…
Key Factors
Penya Encarnada struggling (3L in last 5)
Esperança d'Andorra struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.