AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Apr 07, 2025

Bologna

Home
VS
18:45

Napoli

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Bologna Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Napoli Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.30 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Bologna Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Bologna vs Empoli 0-3
Mar 29 Bologna vs Venezia 0-1
Mar 16 Bologna vs Lazio 5-0
Mar 09 Bologna vs Verona 1-2
Mar 02 Bologna vs Cagliari 2-1
Feb 27 Bologna vs AC Milan 2-1
Feb 22 Bologna vs Parma 2-0
Feb 14 Bologna vs Torino 3-2
Feb 09 Bologna vs Lecce 0-0
Feb 04 Bologna vs Atalanta 0-1
Napoli Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Napoli vs AC Milan 2-1
Mar 16 Napoli vs Venezia 0-0
Mar 09 Napoli vs Fiorentina 2-1
Mar 01 Napoli vs Inter 1-1
Feb 23 Napoli vs Como 2-1
Feb 15 Napoli vs Lazio 2-2
Feb 09 Napoli vs Udinese 1-1
Feb 02 Napoli vs AS Roma 1-1
Jan 25 Napoli vs Juventus 2-1
Jan 18 Napoli vs Atalanta 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bologna in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 25, 2024 Napoli 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Aug 25, 2024 Napoli 3 - 0 Bologna Pro League
May 11, 2024 Napoli 0 - 2 Bologna Serie A
May 11, 2024 Napoli 0 - 2 Bologna Pro League
Sep 24, 2023 Bologna 0 - 0 Napoli Serie A
May 28, 2023 Bologna 2 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Oct 16, 2022 Napoli 3 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Jan 17, 2022 Bologna 0 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Oct 28, 2021 Napoli 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bologna Power 36
Napoli Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bologna Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Napoli Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.