AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Nov 26, 2023

AS Roma

Home
VS
17:00

Udinese

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
AS Roma Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Udinese Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.50 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Roma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Udinese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
AS Roma Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 AS Roma vs Lecce 2-1
Oct 08 AS Roma vs Cagliari 1-4
Sep 28 AS Roma vs Genoa 4-1
Sep 24 AS Roma vs Torino 1-1
Sep 01 AS Roma vs AC Milan 1-2
Apr 24 AS Roma vs Atalanta 3-1
Apr 16 AS Roma vs Udinese 3-0
Apr 08 AS Roma vs Torino 0-1
Mar 12 AS Roma vs Sassuolo 3-4
Mar 05 AS Roma vs Juventus 1-0
Udinese Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Udinese vs Genoa 2-2
Sep 27 Udinese vs Napoli 4-1
Sep 24 Udinese vs Fiorentina 0-2
Aug 20 Udinese vs Juventus 0-3
Jun 04 Udinese vs Juventus 0-1
May 21 Udinese vs Lazio 0-1
May 14 Udinese vs Fiorentina 2-0
May 04 Udinese vs Napoli 1-1
Apr 16 Udinese vs AS Roma 3-0
Apr 02 Udinese vs Bologna 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Udinese struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 16, 2023 AS Roma 3 - 0 Udinese Serie A
Sep 04, 2022 Udinese 4 - 0 AS Roma Serie A
Mar 13, 2022 Udinese 1 - 1 AS Roma Serie A
Sep 23, 2021 AS Roma 1 - 0 Udinese Serie A
Feb 14, 2021 AS Roma 3 - 0 Udinese Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AS Roma Power 41
Udinese Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

AS Roma Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Udinese Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.