AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Nov 10, 2024

Toluca

Home
VS
01:00

Club América

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Toluca Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Club América Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.02 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toluca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Toluca Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 07 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Oct 23 Toluca vs Puebla 5-0
Sep 23 Toluca vs Santos La… 2-0
Sep 01 Toluca vs Monterrey 1-2
Jul 21 Toluca vs Cruz Azul 1-1
May 12 Toluca vs Guadalaja… 0-0
May 09 Toluca vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Apr 28 Toluca vs Cruz Azul 0-1
Apr 20 Toluca vs Atletico … 1-5
Apr 14 Toluca vs Club Amér… 5-1
Club América Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 07 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 2-1
Oct 28 Club Amér… vs Monterrey 2-1
Oct 24 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Sep 22 Club Amér… vs Necaxa 1-1
Jul 06 Club Amér… vs Atletico … 2-1
May 27 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-0
May 24 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
May 19 Club Amér… vs Guadalaja… 1-0
May 16 Club Amér… vs Guadalaja… 0-0
May 12 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 14, 2024 Club América 5 - 1 Toluca Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toluca Power 0
Club América Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Toluca Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Club América Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.