AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Nov 28, 2024

Club América

Home
VS
01:00

Toluca

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Club América Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Toluca Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.03 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Toluca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Club América Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Nov 10 Club Amér… vs Toluca 4-0
Nov 07 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 2-1
Oct 28 Club Amér… vs Monterrey 2-1
Oct 24 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Sep 22 Club Amér… vs Necaxa 1-1
Jul 06 Club Amér… vs Atletico … 2-1
May 27 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-0
May 24 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
May 19 Club Amér… vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Toluca Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Toluca vs Club Amér… 4-0
Nov 07 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Oct 23 Toluca vs Puebla 5-0
Sep 23 Toluca vs Santos La… 2-0
Sep 01 Toluca vs Monterrey 1-2
May 12 Toluca vs Guadalaja… 0-0
May 09 Toluca vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Apr 28 Toluca vs Cruz Azul 0-1
Apr 20 Toluca vs Atletico … 1-5
Apr 14 Toluca vs Club Amér… 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Toluca in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 10, 2024 Toluca 4 - 0 Club América Liga MX
Apr 14, 2024 Club América 5 - 1 Toluca Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Club América Power 0
Toluca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Club América Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Toluca Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.