AI Match Insights

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Copa de la Liga Profesional Apr 21, 2024

River Plate

Home
VS
18:30

Boca Juniors

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
River Plate Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Boca Juniors Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.58 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Boca Juniors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
River Plate Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 2-1
Mar 17 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 3-1
Feb 25 River Pla… vs Boca Juni… 1-1
Feb 04 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 5-0
Feb 01 River Pla… vs Barracas … 0-2
Dec 23 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 0-2
Dec 10 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 0-0
Nov 11 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 3-1
Oct 29 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-2
Sep 03 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-0
Boca Juniors Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 1-0
Apr 06 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 1-3
Mar 23 Boca Juni… vs Central N… 3-0
Feb 25 Boca Juni… vs River Pla… 1-1
Feb 05 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 0-2
Nov 23 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 2-3
Nov 12 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 1-0
Oct 28 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 0-0
Sep 03 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 0-1
Jul 24 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • River Plate in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Boca Juniors in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 25, 2024 River Plate 1 - 1 Boca Juniors Copa de la Lig…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: River Plate to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
River Plate Power 0
Boca Juniors Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.