AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Mar 01, 2025

Cwmbran Celtic

Home
VS
14:00

Pontypridd Town

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Cwmbran Celtic Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Pontypridd Town Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.44 - 2.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 2.2
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cwmbran Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Pontypridd Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (5%) 3-1 (4%) 3-3 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 2-3 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Cwmbran Celtic Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Cwmbran C… vs Llantwit … 2-1
Feb 08 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 1-0
Jan 07 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 3-1
Dec 28 Cwmbran C… vs Newport C… 0-1
Nov 30 Cwmbran C… vs Trethomas… 4-6
Oct 11 Cwmbran C… vs Pontyprid… 2-0
Jul 20 Cwmbran C… vs Trethomas… 2-3
Apr 20 Cwmbran C… vs Goytre Un… 3-1
Apr 17 Cwmbran C… vs Trefelin 4-1
Mar 29 Cwmbran C… vs Caernarfo… 3-0
Pontypridd Town Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Pontyprid… vs Ammanford… 2-3
Jan 10 Pontyprid… vs Newport C… 0-2
Jan 01 Pontyprid… vs Cambrian … 3-3
Nov 01 Pontyprid… vs Ammanford… 3-0
Oct 11 Pontyprid… vs Cwmbran C… 2-0
Sep 27 Pontyprid… vs Newport C… 0-1
Sep 14 Pontyprid… vs Trethomas… 2-3
Aug 09 Pontyprid… vs Cambrian … 1-3
Aug 02 Pontyprid… vs Cardiff C… 3-1
Jul 26 Pontyprid… vs Afan Lido 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pontypridd Town in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Cwmbran Celtic struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 11, 2024 Pontypridd Town 2 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Oct 02, 2021 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Pontypridd Town FAW Championsh…
Aug 24, 2021 Pontypridd Town 3 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Aug 07, 2021 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Pontypridd Town League Cup
Dec 12, 2020 Pontypridd Town 2 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cwmbran Celtic to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cwmbran Celtic Power 0
Pontypridd Town Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.