Predictions Match Details
Serie B · Mar 03, 2024 15:15

Bari
PWR 27
1 - 1
FT

Spezia
PWR 30
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bari to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack25
Defense54
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.5
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Bari Form LLLLW
DOWN
Spezia Form LDDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS38%
Under 2.550%
Bari Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Spezia Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Bari
vs
0.55
Spezia
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Bari
-2
Gap
#17
Spezia
WR 27% 20 pts WR 18% 20 pts
Bari 4.0%
Feb 27 Bari v Catanza… 2-0
Feb 27 Bari v Catanza… 2-0
Feb 24 Bari v Sudtirol 1-0
Feb 24 Bari v Sudtirol 1-0
Feb 17 Bari v Feralpi… 1-0
Feb 10 Bari v Lecce 3-1
Feb 02 Bari v Palermo 3-0
Feb 02 Bari v Palermo 3-0
Jan 27 Bari v Reggian… 0-2
Jan 21 Bari v Ascoli 2-2
Spezia 10.0%
Feb 28 Spezia v Feralpi… 0-2
Feb 25 Spezia v Monza 0-0
Feb 25 Spezia v Monza 0-0
Feb 17 Spezia v Cittade… 4-2
Feb 11 Spezia v Ternana 1-1
Feb 03 Spezia v Catanza… 1-1
Jan 27 Spezia v Pisa 2-3
Jan 20 Spezia v Cremone… 0-1
Jan 13 Spezia v Como 4-0
Dec 26 Spezia v Monza 1-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Dec 15, 2023 Spezia 1-0 Bari
Dec 15, 2023 Spezia 1-0 Bari
Key Factors
Bari struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.