Serie B · Dec 29, 2024 14:00

Bari
PWR 27
2 - 0
FT

Spezia
PWR 30
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bari to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (31%) 1-0 (27%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 9%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack25
Defense54
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.5
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Bari Form LLWLL
DOWN
Spezia Form DWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.511%
BTTS15%
Under 2.589%
Bari Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Spezia Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Bari
vs
0.29
Spezia
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Bari
-1
Gap
#18
Spezia
WR 27% 20 pts WR 18% 21 pts
Bari 4.0%
Dec 26 Bari v Palermo 1-0
Dec 26 Bari v Palermo 1-0
Dec 25 Bari v Zira 2-0
Dec 21 Bari v Sudtirol 0-1
Dec 21 Bari v Sudtirol 0-1
Dec 13 Bari v Pisa 2-0
Dec 07 Bari v Cosenza 1-0
Dec 07 Bari v Cosenza 1-0
Nov 30 Bari v Brescia 1-1
Nov 24 Bari v Cittade… 3-2
Spezia 14.0%
Dec 26 Spezia v Mantova 1-1
Dec 21 Spezia v Catanza… 0-1
Dec 14 Spezia v Sampdor… 0-0
Dec 14 Spezia v Sampdor… 0-0
Dec 08 Spezia v Cittade… 5-0
Dec 01 Spezia v Palermo 2-0
Dec 01 Spezia v Palermo 2-0
Nov 24 Spezia v Sudtirol 3-0
Nov 24 Spezia v Sudtirol 3-0
Nov 10 Spezia v Juve St… 0-3
Head-to-Head (6)
Oct 25, 2024 Spezia 0-0 Bari
Oct 25, 2024 Spezia 0-0 Bari
Mar 03, 2024 Bari 1-1 Spezia
Mar 03, 2024 Bari 1-1 Spezia
Dec 15, 2023 Spezia 1-0 Bari
Dec 15, 2023 Spezia 1-0 Bari
Key Factors
Bari struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.