Serie B · Dec 29, 2024 14:00

Bari
PWR 27

Spezia
PWR 30

Bari
PWR 27
2 - 0
FT

Spezia
PWR 30
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bari to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (31%)
1-0 (27%)
2-0 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 9%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack25
Defense54
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.5
Attack26
Defense60
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Bari Form
LLWLL
DOWN
Spezia Form
DWDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.511%
BTTS15%
Under 2.589%
Bari Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Spezia Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Barivs
0.29
SpeziaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Bari-1
Gap#18
Spezia
WR 27% 20 pts
WR 18% 21 pts
Bari
4.0%
| Dec 26 | Bari v Palermo | 1-0 |
| Dec 26 | Bari v Palermo | 1-0 |
| Dec 25 | Bari v Zira | 2-0 |
| Dec 21 | Bari v Sudtirol | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | Bari v Sudtirol | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Bari v Pisa | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | Bari v Cosenza | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | Bari v Cosenza | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Bari v Brescia | 1-1 |
| Nov 24 | Bari v Cittade… | 3-2 |
Spezia
14.0%
| Dec 26 | Spezia v Mantova | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Spezia v Catanza… | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Spezia v Cittade… | 5-0 |
| Dec 01 | Spezia v Palermo | 2-0 |
| Dec 01 | Spezia v Palermo | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Spezia v Sudtirol | 3-0 |
| Nov 24 | Spezia v Sudtirol | 3-0 |
| Nov 10 | Spezia v Juve St… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Oct 25, 2024 | Spezia | 0-0 | Bari |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Spezia | 0-0 | Bari |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Bari | 1-1 | Spezia |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Bari | 1-1 | Spezia |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Spezia | 1-0 | Bari |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Spezia | 1-0 | Bari |
Key Factors
Bari struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.