AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Birinci Dəstə Oct 23, 2025

Safa Baku

Home
VS
10:00

Səbail FK

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Safa Baku Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Səbail FK Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 1.71 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Safa Baku Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Səbail FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Safa Baku Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 17 Safa Baku vs Baku Spor… 1-2
Oct 02 Safa Baku vs MOIK 4-1
Sep 24 Safa Baku vs Cəbrayıl 3-0
Sep 18 Safa Baku vs Zaqatala 0-4
Sep 12 Safa Baku vs Ĺžimal 2-0
Oct 30 Safa Baku vs Difai AÄźsu 2-3
Səbail FK Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 Səbail FK vs Zaqatala 1-0
Oct 02 Səbail FK vs Şimal 0-0
Sep 24 Səbail FK vs Şahdağ 2-0
Sep 18 Səbail FK vs Difai Ağsu 1-2
Sep 12 Səbail FK vs Energetik 2-0
Dec 10 Səbail FK vs Qabala 1-3
Jan 24 Səbail FK vs Qabala 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Safa Baku in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • SÉ™bail FK in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Safa Baku to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Safa Baku Power 0
Səbail FK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Safa Baku Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Səbail FK Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.